Brighton vs Manchester City Analysis: Who Wins It?

Manchester City travel to the Amex this weekend aiming to bounce back from a surprise 0-2 defeat to Tottenham, but they face a Brighton & Hove Albion side that has proven a significant stumbling block on their home turf. The Seagulls, under Fabian Hürzeler, boast an impressive recent record against City at home, securing a 2-1 victory and a 2-2 draw in their last two Premier League encounters, setting the stage for another compelling contest.

Despite their recent setback, City’s attacking prowess remains undeniable, as evidenced by their dominant 4-0 win against Wolves earlier in the season. The champions will be significantly bolstered by the anticipated return of midfield general Rodri and the creative spark of Phil Foden, crucial figures for Pep Guardiola’s 4-3-3 setup.

While injuries persist for Mateo Kovacic, Savinho, and Rayan Ait-Nouri, City’s deep squad quality, featuring talents like Erling Haaland and Bernardo Silva, ensures they maintain a formidable threat.

Brighton, however, will be far from an easy out. Hürzeler’s 4-2-3-1 formation prioritises possession and attacking flair, designed to exploit spaces left by aggressive opposition. Their mixed start to the 2025/2026 season – a draw, a loss, and an EFL Cup win – belies their capacity to rise to the occasion against top teams.

Injuries to vital players like Adam Webster, Solly March and Julio Enciso, coupled with a doubt over Georginio Rutter, do limit their options. Nevertheless, the likes of Kaoru Mitoma and the ever-reliable Lewis Dunk will be pivotal in both defence and transitional play.

The tactical battle will revolve around City’s ability to break down Brighton’s organised defence and midfield, while the Seagulls will seek to leverage quick counters. Rodri’s presence will be vital for City’s midfield control against Brighton’s pressing.

Ultimately, while Brighton’s home advantage and resilient play will make this a tough contest, Manchester City’s superior squad depth and quality, coupled with a strong desire to return to winning ways, should see them edge a narrow 1-2 victory.